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Disclosure. I am a licensed Financial Security Advisor, Mutual Fund Representative, and Group Insurance & Annuity Plans Advisor. I am not a lawyer, tax lawyer, or accountant. I discuss taxes only as they relate to specific insurance, investment, and estate strategies; I do not provide general tax optimization or comprehensive financial planning. Content is educational only. Mutual funds offered through WhiteHaven Securities Inc. Insurance products offered through iAssure Inc. Coordinate decisions with your CPA, notary, or lawyer. See Disclaimer and Privacy.

Why this is important

  • Official CPI shows ~75% cumulative inflation from 2000 to 2025. Include taxes and the number is 110 to 130%.
  • Taxes are the largest household expense at 42.3% of income. CPI excludes them entirely.
  • Pensions and wages indexed to CPI lose purchasing power relative to what households actually pay.

If this resonates, you might want to read more articles.

The Inflation Series for Business Owners

Part 1: The Real Inflation Part 2: What's Ahead → Part 3: How to Prepare →

The Real Inflation

Why your costs rise faster than official numbers suggest

The Gap You Feel Is Real

Official CPI says inflation has been ~2.3% annually since 2000. Your bank account says otherwise. The gap exists because CPI ignores your largest expense: taxes.

Official CPI (2000-2025)

~75%

~2.3% per year

Felt Inflation (with taxes)

~120%

~3.2% per year average

The Difference Over 25 Years

+45%

Hidden purchasing power loss

The Acceleration Since COVID

The 3.2% average is over 25 years. The real acceleration happened in the last five years. Food prices rose 21% from 2020 to 2024. Shelter costs jumped 30%+. Property taxes in many municipalities increased 5-7% annually. If you isolate 2020 to 2025, felt inflation is likely 5 to 8% per year. The 25-year average masks what is happening now.


Why the Gap Exists

CPI measures price stability. It tracks a basket of ~700 goods and services. It makes "hedonic adjustments" for quality improvements.

What CPI ignores:

  • Income taxes, federal and provincial
  • Payroll taxes like CPP/QPP and EI
  • Property taxes (mostly)
  • Full mortgage principal payments
  • Full childcare costs
  • Out-of-pocket health costs

The largest omission is taxes. For the average Canadian family, taxes are the single largest expense.


Taxes: The Expense CPI Ignores

Total Tax Bill (2024)

$48,306

Share of Income

42.3%

Increase Since 2000

+101%

Source: Fraser Institute, Canadian Consumer Tax Index 2024

In 1961, the average Canadian family paid 33.5% of income in taxes. By 2024, that figure reached 42.3%. Tax dollars paid have more than doubled since 2000.

CPI ignores this entirely.


The True Household Basket

When you include taxes in household outflows, the picture changes completely.

Category % of Total Outflow
🔶 Total Taxes 38.6%
Shelter (mortgage/rent) 19.7%
Transportation 9.7%
Food 9.6%
Everything else 22.4%

Source: Statistics Canada SHS 2023, Fraser Institute 2024. See full methodology.

Taxes are the largest single category. CPI pretends they don't exist.


What This Means for You

Your Cash Loses Value

If felt inflation is 3.2% and your savings earn 2%, you lose 1.2% purchasing power every year. Over 25 years, that compounds.

Projections Are Wrong

If you assume 2% inflation in retirement projections, you underestimate future costs. The gap grows every year.

Corporate Surplus Erodes

Retained earnings in cash or GICs lose real value. The direction matters more than the exact number.


This Resonates If...

  • You've noticed household spending rising faster than "2% inflation"
  • You have significant cash or conservative investments in your corporation
  • Your long-term projections use CPI as the inflation assumption
  • You're planning for retirement, succession, or estate over the next 10 to 20 years

Full Research

This article is a summary. For complete calculations, data sources, and methodology, see:

Full Methodology and Sources →


Continue the Series

Part 2

Inflation and Dollar Devaluation Ahead →

What forces are driving inflation and currency weakness going forward?

Part 3

Preparing Your Business for Inflation →

How can business owners position to protect purchasing power?

Ready to understand how this affects your situation?

Review My Structure

Resources

Tags

Inflation, Cost of Living, Household Economics, Business Owner Strategy, Taxes

Full Disclosure.

This content is for information and education only. It explains general concepts that may apply to incorporated business owners, but it is not personalized tax, legal, or investment advice.

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